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Minnesota Budget Outlook and Trends

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The state's budget is influenced by economic conditions, and in return, state budget and policy decisions should be informed by how Minnesotans are being effected by the economy. We provide analysis of the state's economic and budget forecasts as well as research on long-term budget trends.

Research

April 2016

Good news, but need for caution: Inside the February 2016 Economic Forecast

Minnesota continues to be in positive budget territory, with a $900 million positive balance for FY 2016-17, and a $1.2 billion projected positive balance for the upcoming FY 2018-19 budget cycle. These positive projected balances provide opportunities for the state to invest strategically so that more Minnesotans can access ladders into the middle class. However, lawmakers should also avoid making large and unsustainable tax cuts that could put Minnesota’s economic future at risk.

December 2015

Future economic strength depends on workforce: Inside the November 2015 Economic Forecast

Minnesota continues to be in positive budget territory, with a $1.2 billion positive balance for FY 2016-17. The state also has a projected positive balance for the upcoming FY 2018-19 budget cycle. These positive balances provide opportunity for the state to invest in its workforce to ensure a strong economic future for Minnesota.

March 2015

State strides into positive budget territory: Inside the February 2015 Economic Forecast

Minnesota's projected budget balance of $1.9 billion for FY 2016-17 is due to stronger economic growth, higher than expected revenues, and lower anticipated expenditures. Even as the state's economy has improved, many Minnesotans still struggle to make ends meet. State investments, such as affordable child care, would enable more Minnesotans to attain economic security.

December 2014

Minnesota is on the right track: Inside the November 2014 Economic Forecast

Minnesota continues to be in positive budget territory, with a $556 million positive balance for FY 2014-15. The state also has a projected positive balance for the upcoming FY 2016-17 budget cycle. These positive balances provide opportunity for the state to continue on its recent path of smart investments that promote broader economic security and make our tax system fairer.

Budget Outlook and Trends Blog Posts

January 27, 2020

January economic outlook is brighter

January's Economic Update brought us good short-term news: revenues are up, and the economy is growing at a good pace for now. However, with slower economic growth and potential for a recession on the horizon, policymakers should prioritize a strong budget reserve to be able to meet Minnesotans' needs in future tough times.

December 05, 2019

Minnesota’s November budget forecast offers some near-term good news, while pointing to the need for sustained revenues for investments

Minnesota’s budget reserve is strengthened and the state’s budget outlook gives us short-term good news, according to ...

November 07, 2019

Minnesota's budget reserve is strong, let's keep it strong

Every year, Minnesota Management and Budget gives Minnesotans an estimate of what the state needs in its "rainy day" fu...

October 22, 2019

Minnesota's October Economic Update shows good news for revenues, but the future's not all roses

The recently released October Revenue and Economic Update gave us some improved news about the state’s economic and...