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Minnesota Budget Outlook and Trends

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The state's budget is influenced by economic conditions, and in return, state budget and policy decisions should be informed by how Minnesotans are being effected by the economy. We provide analysis of the state's economic and budget forecasts as well as research on long-term budget trends.

Research

January 2011

Minnesota faces slow recovery and a big deficit: A look at the November 2010 Forecast

The state’s latest economic forecast projects a deficit of $6.2 billion for the upcoming FY 2012-13 biennium, or 16 percent of the general fund budget. The prolonged economic slowdown and heavy reliance on short-term budget solutions have both contributed to the state's current budget troubles. The forecast continues to project slow economic growth for the state.

March 2010

February 2010 Economic Forecast: Slightly better now, slightly worse later

Minnesota’s short-term budget problems have eased slightly, according to the state’s February economic forecast. Last...

January 2010

November 2009 Forecast: Continued economic woes bring more big deficits

A drop in expected revenue has created a $1.2 billion budget deficit in Minnesota’s current two-year budget cycle, FY...

December 2008

The lost decade: Taking a closer look at Minnesota's public investments in the 2000s

The Lost Decade looks closely at funding trends in four state budget areas that significantly impact the well-being of Minnesotans: early education and K-12 education, higher education, child care assistance, and affordable housing and homelessness prevention. As a result of funding cuts in these areas, many Minnesotans had fewer opportunities to succeed in school, in the workplace, or in providing a decent standard of living for their families.

Budget Outlook and Trends Blog Posts

July 18, 2023

July economic update shows state revenues on track, mixed national economic picture

The State of Minnesota ended the most recent fiscal year on a positive revenue note, but the latest update shows the relatively strong national economic outlook is expected to weaken in coming years.

April 12, 2023

Latest economic report shows state revenues on track with projected large surpluses

Both the state of Minnesota’s revenues and the national economic forecast are slightly improved compared to the February...

February 27, 2023

State's February budget forecast confirms opportunity to make transformational investments

The State of Minnesota is projected to have budget surpluses over the next four years, according to the February 2023...

February 13, 2023

January economic update affirms state has resources to invest in everyday Minnesotans

The state of Minnesota’s revenue picture continues to improve, and the national economic recovery is expected to be a li...