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Minnesota Budget Outlook and Trends

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The state's budget is influenced by economic conditions, and in return, state budget and policy decisions should be informed by how Minnesotans are being effected by the economy. We provide analysis of the state's economic and budget forecasts as well as research on long-term budget trends.

Research

March 2012

Surplus short-lived as deficit looms: The February 2012 Economic Forecast

Minnesota has a $323 million surplus for the current budget cycle, the FY 2012-13 biennium. These funds will be used to refill the state's budget reserve and start to reverse the school funding shift. However, Minnesota faces a $1.1 billion shortfall in the FY 2014-15 budget cycle, which policymakers will need to address when they return to session in 2013.

December 2011

Surplus now, deficit later: A look at the November 2011 Economic Forecast

Minnesota has an $876 million surplus, but is facing a $1.3 billion deficit in the next budget cycle. How policymakers address these challenges will have a major effect on the state's economic future.

March 2011

Minnesota's forecast improves, but deficits continue: A look at the February 2011 Forecast

Minnesota's financial picture has improved slightly since November, with the state's budget deficit falling from $6.2 billion to $5.0 billion for FY 2012-13. The state's economy, however, continues to improve at a slow pace and unemployment levels aren't expected to improve until 2014.

January 2011

Minnesota faces slow recovery and a big deficit: A look at the November 2010 Forecast

The state’s latest economic forecast projects a deficit of $6.2 billion for the upcoming FY 2012-13 biennium, or 16 percent of the general fund budget. The prolonged economic slowdown and heavy reliance on short-term budget solutions have both contributed to the state's current budget troubles. The forecast continues to project slow economic growth for the state.

Budget Outlook and Trends Blog Posts

July 22, 2021

State’s July economic update shows strong revenue numbers

We’re getting “back to normal”, but that isn’t enough The state of Minnesota’s revenue and economic picture continues to...

May 03, 2021

What does improved April economic update mean for budget negotiations?

The state’s economic picture has improved compared to the February forecast , according to the recent April Revenue and...

March 02, 2021

Budget forecast shows welcome news but Minnesota needs resources for an equitable future

The state’s new budget projections give the latest on the continuing impact of the pandemic, and a preliminary sense of ...

January 21, 2021

January economic update shows some improvement

The state’s economic picture has improved compared to the November forecast, but COVID-19 and the economic fallout are still hurting many Minnesotans’ health and economic stability, according to the state of Minnesota’s recent January Revenue and Economic Update.