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Minnesota Budget Outlook and Trends

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The state's budget is influenced by economic conditions, and in return, state budget and policy decisions should be informed by how Minnesotans are being effected by the economy. We provide analysis of the state's economic and budget forecasts as well as research on long-term budget trends.

Research

March 2010

February 2010 Economic Forecast: Slightly better now, slightly worse later

Minnesota’s short-term budget problems have eased slightly, according to the state’s February economic forecast. Last...

January 2010

November 2009 Forecast: Continued economic woes bring more big deficits

A drop in expected revenue has created a $1.2 billion budget deficit in Minnesota’s current two-year budget cycle, FY...

December 2008

The lost decade: Taking a closer look at Minnesota's public investments in the 2000s

The Lost Decade looks closely at funding trends in four state budget areas that significantly impact the well-being of Minnesotans: early education and K-12 education, higher education, child care assistance, and affordable housing and homelessness prevention. As a result of funding cuts in these areas, many Minnesotans had fewer opportunities to succeed in school, in the workplace, or in providing a decent standard of living for their families.

September 2002

Trends in Minnesota government spending

Between 1987 and 1997 (the period of time examined by this report), Minnesota trailed the national average in terms of growth in government spending. However, state and local government investments in public services and infrastructure contributed positively to Minnesota’s economic health and quality of life. 

Budget Outlook and Trends Blog Posts

May 05, 2020

May budget report reveals the need to support everyday folks

The May budget projection will guide the decisions that policymakers make in the remaining weeks of the legislative session, and the months beyond. They remind us of how many of our neighbors are struggling, and the importance of taking swift action to reduce the hardships that Minnesotans and their families are facing as a result of the pandemic, and to start building for the economic recovery.

May 04, 2020

Increased Medicaid funding to states protects health care, critical services

While they have taken some preliminary steps, federal decision-makers should further boost the Medicaid dollars it sends to states, make that increase last until the economy recovers, and maintain strong requirements to protect health care coverage.

April 29, 2020

April economic changes bring May budget projections

The novel coronavirus pandemic is having a significant effect on Minnesotans' physical and mental health of Minnesotans....

April 14, 2020

Minnesota’s April economic update

It's a bigger deal than usual, but doesn’t yet have all the answers: The April Revenue and Economic Update is a first look at the economic and fiscal impacts of the coronavirus crisis in Minnesota. The quarterly report from Minnesota Management and Budget (MMB) shows that state revenues have dropped considerably and the national economy has likely fallen into recession.