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Minnesota Budget Outlook and Trends

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The state's budget is influenced by economic conditions, and in return, state budget and policy decisions should be informed by how Minnesotans are being effected by the economy. We provide analysis of the state's economic and budget forecasts as well as research on long-term budget trends.

Research

March 2014

Economic recovery creates opportunities: inside the February 2014 Forecast

Minnesota's $1.2 billion state budget positive balance shows that Minnesota's economy is making solid gains. Policymakers should act cautiously and continue to work toward a fairer tax system, strengthen budget reserves, and invest in a future of shared prosperity.

December 2013

Minnesota's future brightens, but uncertainty remains: A look at the November 2013 Forecast

A $1.1 billion positive balance means Minnesota will finish reversing past budget gimmicks. It also means policymakers can build upon the progress made in the 2013 Legislative Session and continue to invest in a prosperous future for Minnesota.

March 2013

Minnesota economy improving, but deficits continue: A look at the February 2013 Economic Forecast

Minnesota continues to face budget deficits, even though the economy is improving. The February 2013 Economic Forecast shows an improving budget outlook that reflects higher revenues and lower spending, but deficits continue for the next few years.

January 2013

Minnesota should get on a sustainable track: A look at the November 2012 Economic Forecast

Even though the economy is improving, Minnesota faces a $1.1 billion deficit in FY 2014-15 ($2.0 billion when inflation is included). Policymakers have an opportunity in the 2013 Legislative Session to end the cycle of budget deficits and quick fixes and get the state on a sustainable path.

Budget Outlook and Trends Blog Posts

December 18, 2020

A deep dive into budget forecast: what it does and doesn’t tell us

Minnesota isn’t sustainably bringing in enough revenues to fund its current commitments, which is showing up in a projec...

December 01, 2020

November forecast notes challenges but Minnesota can draw on resources so we can care for each other

The state's budget forecast highlights that improved state revenue figures are not necessarily tied to better well-being for everyday Minnesotans.

October 15, 2020

Economic update shows COVID-19’s impact, need for federal action

COVID-19 is still a major threat to the country’s health, economy, and public services we all count on. The state of Min...

October 06, 2020

Budget reserve is one tool to put people first during tough times

Every year, Minnesota Management and Budget (MMB) gives Minnesotans an estimate of what the state needs in its "rainy...